By Charles Goodsir
The 2024 Euros are well underway and the final slate of pool matches are wrapping up this week. The top two sides of the six groups will automatically qualify for the knockout stages.
However, there is hope for teams that finish in third spot with the four highest-ranked third-placed teams also advancing to the next stage.
SEN looks at all of the groups and every scenario that will dictate who advances to the Round of 16 and who will be sent packing home.
| Team | Played | Goals scored | GD | Points | | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | | Germany | 3 | 8 | 6 | 7 | | Switzerland | 3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | | Hungary | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 | | Scotland | 3 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
Germany have secured top spot in Group A after a stoppage time equaliser from Niclas Füllkrug against Switzerland. The draw results in Switzerland also advancing to the knockout stage.
Scotland finished on the bottom of Group A after they conceded a late stoppage time goal to Hungary in their final pool match. Hungary face a nervous wait to see if they are one of the four highest-ranked third-placed teams to advance but a goals differential of -3 should see them eliminated.
| Team | Played | Goals scored | GD | Points | | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | | Spain | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | | Italy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | | Albania | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | | Croatia | 2 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Spain will finish on top of their group regardless of the final result in their match or Croatia v Italy. Their opponents Albania have everything to play for a need to defeat Spain by at least two goals and an Italy loss or draw will see them advance automatically to the Round of 16.
Italy will finish second with a win or draw against Croatia. The reigning European champions can still finish last and be eliminated from the tournament if Albania defeats Spain and they lose to Croatia. The Azzurri can still advance as a third-placed team if they lose to Croatia but must rely on Albania losing to Spain and other results to go their way.
Croatia must win if they have any chance of progressing to the next stage of the tournament given their poor goals differential (-3).
| Team | Played | Goals scored | GD | Points | | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | | England | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | | Denmark | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | | Slovenia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | | Serbia | 2 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
England have left the door ajar following their poor performance against Denmark. The Three Lions will top the group with a win over Slovenia and will advance as long as they avoid defeat. A loss to Slovenia should still be enough for Gareth Southgate’s side to progress but they must rely on other results.
A win for Slovenia over England will see them progress and they can top the group if Denmark don't win against Serbia. Slovenia must rely on other results if they draw to England.
Denmark will finish in top spot of Group C if they defeat Serbia and Slovenia defeats England. A win over Serbia will be enough for Denmark to go through but a loss and a Slovenian win would likely result in elimination. A draw against Serbia would leave the Danes sweating on other games.
Serbia must defeat Denmark if they have any hope of progressing. A Slovenian win over England will catapult them to second and give them automatic qualification.
| Team | Played | Goals scored | GD | Points | | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | | Netherlands | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | | France | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | | Austria | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | | Poland | 2 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Poland have already been eliminated and will be playing for pride and the potential to spoil the party when they play France. Les Bleus will back their chances against Poland and a win would secure top spot as long as the Netherlands draw or lose to Austria.
The Netherlands have a similar scenario as France in that a win would secure top spot and advance to the knockout stages.
Austria can still top the group with a win over the Netherlands and a French loss or draw. A loss or draw wouldn’t be disastrous for the Austrians but they would need certain results to go in their favour.
| Team | Played | Goals scored | GD | Points | | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | | Romania | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | | Ukraine | 2 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
For the first time in the history of the Euros, all four teams are on the same amount of points and are all still in with a chance of topping the group and/or advancing to the next stage.
As a result, any team that wins their fixture (Slovakia v Romania, Ukraine v Belgium) will qualify. Both matches ending in a draw, goal difference will see Belgium and Romania go through. Third placed Slovakia could still advance given their neutral goals differential but Ukraine would be eliminated.
| Team | Played | Goals scored | GD | Points | | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | ---------- | | Portugal | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 | | Türkiye | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | | Czech Republic | 2 | 2 | -1 | 1 | | Georgia | 2 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Portugal has already topped the group and can end Georgia’s tournament with a win. Georgia must beat the 2016 Champions to have any chance of progressing and further require the Czech Republic to defeat Türkiye.
Türkiye just requires a draw to advance. If they fail to win and Georgia fails to beat Portugal, three points may not be enough to advance as a third-placed team.
Crafted by Project Diamond