SENTrack: Tasracing’s Wednesday best bets at Launceston (04/12)

After the excitement of the Newmarket and 3YO Cup last week, night racing returns to Launceston a week later for an eight-race card on Wednesday night.

The rail moves out to +3m after being true last Wednesday, where the track raced exceptionally well despite significant rainfall on race day.

The forecast for Wednesday is 25C and fine.

See the best bets, courtesy of Tasracing.com.au.

Best bet

Race 6 – 1. Sweet Lucifer

Sweet Lucifer drops back to BM60 grade here and gets in well with 60.5kg, given he is a 71-rater. The market knew he may have needed the run first-up, but he still ran decent, only beaten just over a length to the flying Geegee Jet By. There’s little doubt he’s the best horse in the race, and while making a 4kg claimer the best bet is fraught with danger, I think that’s being overly baked into the price of $5 that’s being offered.

Next best

Race 1 – 2. Kakia

The Jessie Bazan stable has been in good form, and hopefully, Kakia can continue that run in the first of the night. He trialled well before his first-up appearance but was wide without cover in a run that is easily excused. Second-up, he was third in a strong BM60 and arguably would’ve won had he gotten clear at the top of the straight. I have him a clear favourite in the race.

Best value

Race 4 – 5. Valiant Khan

It looks like a tricky night for punters that may throw up some value results. Valiant Khan is over the odds for mine in what is admittedly a strong maiden/class 1. He went straight to 1400m first-up, running fourth to Waddy Waddy after only getting out when the race was over. The placement here tells me he’s being trained to get over ground this time, and I think his efforts last campaign can be excused at a time when Adam Trinder’s team was underperforming after a virus went through his stable.

Selections

Race 1: 2-6-3-1
Race 2: 8-1-18-12
Race 3: 4-11-5-1
Race 4: 5-14-2-7
Race 5: 2-9-8-1
Race 6: 1-10-4-9
Race 7: 2-1-4-3
Race 8: 1-2-6

What's gambling really costing you? Set a deposit limit. For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au